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Sector momentum 12-month · top 3 of 9 sectors (after Moskowitz & Grinblatt 1999)

by finzdata-research · published 2026-10-13 · expr · custom · 0 forks · 1 views

'Do Industries Explain Momentum?' showed industry momentum drives much of stock momentum. Approximation: rank the 9 SPDR sector ETFs on 252-day return and hold the top 3. Falsified if it fails to beat equal-weight sectors.

Forward tracking started 2026-10-13. Results appear after 21 trading days.

Backtest

MetricStrategyBenchmark
CAGR8.31%7.84%
Volatility18.60%18.32%
Sharpe0.520.50
Max drawdown-49.14%-54.86%
Turnover (per year)2.73

Deflated Sharpe: 0.41 (n trials: 220) — the probability the Sharpe ratio is real after the number of variants tried.

Run id 289eeb56b5e07a3e · snapshot v2026-10-12

Spec

{
  "costs_bps": 10,
  "end": "2025-12-31",
  "rebalance": "M",
  "side": "long",
  "signal": {
    "expr": "rank(ret(252))",
    "type": "expr"
  },
  "start": "2005-01-01",
  "top_n": 3,
  "universe": [
    "XLB",
    "XLE",
    "XLF",
    "XLI",
    "XLK",
    "XLP",
    "XLU",
    "XLV",
    "XLY"
  ]
}

Fork this strategy

Re-run it with your own changes. The fork is computed on the server and linked back here.

curl -X POST https://api.finzdata.com/v1/hub/s/sector-momentum-12-month-top-3-of-9-sectors-after-moskowitz-93b4df/fork \
  -H 'Authorization: Bearer YOUR_KEY' -H 'Content-Type: application/json' \
  -d '{"changes": {"signal": {"lookback": 126}}}'

Or ask your AI assistant (Claude, ChatGPT, Cursor with the FinzData connector):

Fork the FinzData strategy sector-momentum-12-month-top-3-of-9-sectors-after-moskowitz-93b4df and test it with a 126-day lookback and 20 bps costs, then compare both runs.

Historical simulation, not investment advice.

Community

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